
According to Thomas Friedman, the Dell Theory of Conflict Prevention is a theory he presented in his book The World Is Flat. The theory stipulates: No two countries that are both part of a major global supply chain, like Dell’s, will ever fight a war against each other as long as they are both part of the same global supply chain. I took a History of the 20th Century class last semester and the professor brought up a similar theory where the rise of global IT will decrease the possibility of a global war, like WWI and II, of ever happening again.
When I first heard of this I thought this could not be true. I always figured there was an inevitable WWIII that was bound to happen. Now, I realize that will never happen now. Once every country in the world becomes industrialized, there will be no more world wars. What country would want to go to war with another country that was full of their own businesses? If this were to happen, the global economy as a whole would collapse. An example would be if the US were to attack Japan like they did in 1945. Japan is now full of US-owned businesses and many businesses that thrive because of the US market. If all imports and exports to and from Japan were blocked, the US economy would take a major hit.
This is just another reason why global IT is such a success. However, the Dell Theory is not a guarantee, it means governments of these countries will have very heavy economic costs if they go to war. A real life example of this theory is the China and Taiwan relationship. Both countries have strong supply relations with each other so a war seems very unlikely today.